What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 07, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Communication Services

Closes Jan 07, 2027 (204d) 24h volume 5.5K Open interest 39.5K Event What sector will SpaceX be assigned to?

96%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 98% · Low 10% · 7d +30.7pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 89.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.