What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 07, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Industrials

Closes Jan 07, 2027 (204d) 24h volume 2.2K Open interest 37.3K Event What sector will SpaceX be assigned to?

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 14 days · High 27% · Low 1% · 7d -95.7pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 4.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.