What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 21, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

People's Party

Closes Aug 21, 2028 (796d) 24h volume 500 Open interest 3.7K Event Who will win the next Spanish general election?

78%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 96% · Low 75%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.