What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 20%, implying a 20% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 21, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Spanish Socialist Workers' Party

Closes Aug 21, 2028 (796d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 547 Event Who will win the next Spanish general election?

20%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 24% · Low 19%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.