What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 779 million

Closes Aug 27, 2026 (71d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 702 Event Spotify monthly active users in Q2

56%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 22 days · High 60% · Low 53% · 7d -11.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.