What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 47%, implying a 47% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 780 million

Closes Aug 27, 2026 (71d) 24h volume 117 Open interest 2.2K Event Spotify monthly active users in Q2

47%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 26 days · High 50% · Low 40% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.