What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 343 Open interest 285 Event What will Keir Starmer say during Prime Minister's Questions?

18%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 22% · Low 22%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.