What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 56%, implying a 56% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Iran / Iranian

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 864 Open interest 1.1K Event What will Keir Starmer say during Prime Minister's Questions?

56%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 71% · Low 51%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.