What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Cuba

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 984 Open interest 91.0K Event What will be the 51st state in Trump's term?

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 36 days · High 6% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -16.7pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 4.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.