What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

13,500 or above

Closes May 31, 2027 (348d) 24h volume 11 Open interest 532 Event How many border encounters in May 2026?

98%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 98% · Low 18% · 7d +1.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.