What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above $150‎ billion

Closes Jun 01, 2027 (326d) 24h volume 15 Open interest 1.3K Event US tariff revenue for 2026

80%

implied YES probability

Last 6 days · High 85% · Low 76%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.