What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

OpenAI

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 828 Open interest 36.0K Event Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

30%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 89 days · High 66% · Low 28% · 7d -35.3pp · 30d -36.5pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.