What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

xAI

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 542 Open interest 27.9K Event Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

15%

implied YES probability

Last 85 days · High 42% · Low 13% · 7d -20.0pp · 30d +6.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.