What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 81%, implying a 81% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 07, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Below 38%

Closes Jan 07, 2027 (204d) 24h volume 2.4K Open interest 11.8K Event How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

81%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 75 days · High 92% · Low 57% · 7d -2.5pp · 30d -3.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.