What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 7%, implying a 7% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Yes

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (562d) 24h volume 231 Open interest 183.4K Event 2026: Trump's dream year?

7%

implied YES probability

-1.5pp 24h

Last 88 days · High 10% · Low 5% · 7d +18.8pp · 30d +20.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.