What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

At least 3

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 332 Open interest 457 Event How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (7/5-7/11)

30%

implied YES probability

-23.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 55% · Low 54%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.