What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 144 Open interest 8.1K Event How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?

15%

implied YES probability

Last 61 days · High 42% · Low 3% · 7d +71.7pp · 30d +21.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.