What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 08, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Afford / Affordable / Affordability

Closes Aug 08, 2026 (52d) 24h volume 253 Open interest 945 Event What will Trump say during the White House Correspondents' Dinner?

42%

implied YES probability

-18.0pp 24h

Last 8 days · High 50% · Low 32% · 7d -4.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.