What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before August 1, 2026

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (45d) 24h volume 7.2K Open interest 2.1M Event Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

implied YES probability

Last 90 days · High 9% · Low 2% · 7d -8.0pp · 30d -39.5pp

Spread 0.6¢ · Mid 2.8¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.