What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before 2028

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume 673 Open interest 366.5K Event Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)

22%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 34% · Low 20% · 7d -8.3pp · 30d -15.4pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 25.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.