What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before his term ends

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 207.9K Event Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

18%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 29% · Low 18% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -9.5pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 24.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.