What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 59%, implying a 59% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

American Dream

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 69 Open interest 1.7K Event What will Trump say this month?

59%

implied YES probability

Last 15 days · High 94% · Low 61% · 7d -26.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.