What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 39%, implying a 39% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Fat shot / Ozempic

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 66 Open interest 1.5K Event What will Trump say this month?

39%

implied YES probability

Last 16 days · High 76% · Low 46% · 7d -35.2pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.