What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 23%, implying a 23% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

a case primarily related to tariffs imposed by Donald Trump

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume 71 Open interest 8.1K Event Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

23%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 80 days · High 68% · Low 18% · 7d +36.8pp · 30d -43.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.