What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 92%, implying a 92% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Yes

Closes Aug 01, 2027 (410d) 24h volume 853 Open interest 24.1K Event Will the Supreme Court let Trump fire FTC Commissioners at will?

92%

implied YES probability

-0.6pp 24h

Last 59 days · High 95% · Low 83% · 7d -3.3pp · 30d -2.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.