What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Enrique Tarrio

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 41 Open interest 14.1K Event Who will receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund in 2026?

implied YES probability

Last 15 days · High 34% · Low 2% · 7d -50.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.