What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

At least 2

Closes Jul 21, 2026 (33d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 6.6K Event Donald Trump: World Cup matches attended

44%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 70% · Low 41%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.