What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 90%, implying a 90% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.1%

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 436 Event Unemployment in July

90%

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 91% · Low 80%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.