What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 5.0%

Closes Dec 04, 2026 (170d) 24h volume 20 Open interest 23 Event Unemployment in November

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 51% · Low 2%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.