What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.8%

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (27d) 24h volume 479 Open interest 435 Event China unemployment rate in June

98%

implied YES probability

+98.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 98% · Low 98%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.