What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Conor McGregor by Submission

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 66.3K Open interest 69.0K Event Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway: Method of Victory

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 4% · Low 4%

Not enough price history yet.

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.