What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Max Holloway by Submission

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 49.6K Open interest 50.7K Event Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway: Method of Victory

implied YES probability

Last 1 days · High 5% · Low 5%

Not enough price history yet.

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 4.5¢

MAX MediaAlpha, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.