What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 31, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Restore Britain party

Closes Aug 31, 2029 (1171d) 24h volume 50 Open interest 51.4K Event Which party will win the next UK general election?

11%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 45 days · High 25% · Low 4% · 7d +27.3pp · 30d +40.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.