What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 21, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Before Jan 21, 2029

Closes Jan 21, 2029 (949d) 24h volume 343 Open interest 25.1K Event Will the US acquire any new territory?

32%

implied YES probability

Last 81 days · High 51% · Low 26% · 7d -8.6pp · 30d -11.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.