What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.65%

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 320 Open interest 1.9K Event How high will the 10Y US Treasury Yield climb by month-end?

16%

implied YES probability

-9.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 46% · Low 25% · 7d -13.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.