kalshi
Financials
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Jul 31, 2026?
4.45% or above
74%
implied YES probability
+9.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 2 days ·
High 69% ·
Low 49%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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War-driven inflation fears fail to shake U.S. Treasury yield outlook: Reuters poll
Investing.com · 1h ago
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Repricing of 30-Year Treasury Yield Has Just Begun, PGIM’s Peters Says
Bloomberg Markets · 6h ago
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