kalshi
Financials
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Jul 31, 2026?
4.5% or above
68%
implied YES probability
-8.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 2 days ·
High 71% ·
Low 51%
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Repricing of 30-Year Treasury Yield Has Just Begun, PGIM’s Peters Says
Bloomberg Markets · 4h ago
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.