What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

4% or above

Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 21 Open interest 27 Event 2Y US Treasury yield on Jul 31, 2026?

88%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 97% · Low 97%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.