What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Economics

Above 4.95%

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 529 Open interest 3.6K Event 30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

52%

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 69% · Low 41% · 7d -33.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.