What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

Significant decrease

Closes Dec 31, 2027 (562d) 24h volume 146 Open interest 7.8K Event US test scores in Math in 2026?

40%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 85 days · High 73% · Low 38% · 7d -12.8pp · 30d -39.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.