What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

At least 30%

Closes Sep 01, 2027 (418d) 24h volume 993 Open interest 1.4K Event Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent

32%

implied YES probability

+16.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 26% · Low 26%

Not enough price history yet.

BPOP Popular Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.