BPOP Popular Inc

XNAS 155.95 Delayed
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

BPOP $155.95 —
Key stats
$155.95
After hours $155.95 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$108.74 – $179.24
YTD
+23.81%
IV Rank (30D)
57.93
Straddle Price
$10.30
P/C Vol Ratio
6.00
Market Cap
$9.9B
Open
$153.92
Day Range
$152.79 – $156.09
Volume
368,555
Prev Close
$155.82
Fair Value
MODEL: NEUTRAL

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)5.22%
Beta vs SPY0.91
Cost of Equity (CAPM)9.75% (VRP-adj)
WACC9.50%
Volatility Risk Premium+23.7pp (IV − HV30)
Effective Tax Rate16.3%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+0.0%
DCF Horizon12 years explicit + fade
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.8B
Return on Equity (TTM)15.0%
Book / Price60.5% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Bank Quality Adj×1.28 (target ROE vs peer median)
Gross Margin (TTM)73.1%
FCF Margin (TTM)18.0%
Debt / Equity0.12
Quality Score5/6 — high quality (12y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth+1.0% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$165.96 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$158.40
Bollinger Width / SMA203.6% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$0.4B
Market Cap$10B
Peers used for multiples: C, GS, JPM, MS, PNC, TFC, USB, WFC
60-Day Conviction
4%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Nov 12, 2026
$157.17
α +0.8% rank 1%
conviction
47%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 11, 2026
$157.56
α +1.0% rank 0%
conviction
33%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 11, 2027
$156.10
α +0.1% rank 0%
conviction
4%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $146.20 18%
DDM (Gordon) $32.47 14%
Peer P/E $217.38 5% median 12.6× · 8 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 18.0× · 8 peers
Peer P/B $131.11 8% median 1.4× · 8 peers
Peer P/S $171.77 3% median 2.0× · 8 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $165.96 35% stability 100% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) $154.52 17% 19 strikes · skew -0.68
As of 2026-10-14 · updated
About
Industry (SIC)
STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS (6022) · industry map
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$9.9B
Employees
9,427
List Date
1990-03-26
CIK
0000763901
Next Earnings
2026-10-22 (Pre-Market)
EPS Forecast
$3.89 (2 est.)
Headquarters
Hato Rey, PR
Homepage
https://www.popular.com

Popular Inc, based in Puerto Rico, is a financial holding company with four main subsidiaries: Banco Popular de Puerto Rico, a bank in Puerto Rico in terms of assets; Banco Popular North America, its banking operation in the continental United States; Evertec, a data processor; and Popular Financial Holdings, a diversified financial services company. The Corporation's reportable segments consist of Banco Popular de Puerto Rico and Popular U.S.

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'21'22'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan2.75%7.78%4.68%4.11%10.99%6.01%6.05%
Feb13.27%-0.40%3.60%-1.92%0.52%-0.97%2.35%
Mar1.80%-6.09%-19.51%6.70%-6.29%-2.83%-4.37%
Apr3.41%-3.66%4.55%-2.76%4.73%10.18%2.74%
May8.68%2.51%-2.57%2.43%7.01%-0.55%2.92%
Jun-8.36%-4.87%1.12%0.57%5.96%11.10%0.92%
Jul-4.61%-0.99%16.87%16.35%1.69%3.76%5.51%
Aug5.19%-0.76%-5.56%3.94%11.00%-3.14%1.78%
Sep3.64%-5.88%-9.88%-0.43%1.36%-7.04%-3.04%
Oct3.63%-3.99%5.09%-6.47%-10.99%-0.36%*-2.18%
Nov-5.96%2.31%12.30%11.04%2.15%--4.37%
Dec6.27%-6.96%7.13%-4.58%7.06%--1.78%
Total31.42%-19.95%13.07%30.23%38.27%15.60%18.11%
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $158.15
SMA 50: $165.57
SMA 200: $151.48
Current: $155.95
EMA 12: $157.12
EMA 26: $159.73
MACD: -2.6033 | Signal: 0.1966
BEARISH
ADX (14): 40.52
STRONG TREND
+DI: 14.22
−DI: 33.95

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 35.75
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 42.20
Stoch %D: 40.23
Williams %R: -59.23

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $162.58
BB Lower: $153.71
NEUTRAL
OBV: 30,201,338
Vol SMA 20: 513,548
Vol ROC: -45.72%
ATR: $3.00
True Range: $3.30
HV 20: 12.9%
HV 30: 16.4%
HV 60: 16.2%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-16T00:00:00 – 2026-10-14T00:00:00
AI Analysis

BPOP (Popular Inc.) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis Report


Executive Summary

Overall Assessment: BEARISH | Confidence Level: 7/10

Investment Thesis: Popular Inc. is caught in a significant downtrend with strong bearish technical signals dominating across momentum indicators, despite a defensive risk profile and positive dividend narrative. The stock has broken below key moving averages and faces strong selling pressure (-DI: 34.92 vs +DI: 11.74), though the low beta (0.73) suggests it may stabilize before reaching deeper support levels. News sentiment remains constructive on dividends, but recent price action suggests institutional conviction is turning negative.

Key Drivers:

  • Strong downtrend in effect with ADX 37.20 (highly directional market)
  • Elevated implied volatility (IV at 88.9%) pricing significant expected moves ($6.25 by 18 DTE)
  • Negative sentiment in options market (put/call volume ratio: 1.91 = heavy put buying)
  • Defensive characteristics (low beta 0.73) limiting further downside velocity
  • Positive dividend narrative not yet supporting price floor

Primary Risks:

  • Technical momentum breakdown suggests further downside likely before stabilization
  • IV Premium at 421.6% above realized volatility signals options traders expect continued volatility
  • Volume decline (-51.47% rate of change) may indicate capitulation or reduced conviction

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction

Short-term (1-4 weeks): BEARISH

  • Price at $158.85 trading below all major moving averages (SMA 20: $164.19, SMA 50: $169.55)
  • Clear breakdown pattern established; no nearby resistance until $164.19
  • ADX 37.20 confirms strong trending market; -DI (34.92) >> +DI (11.74) = sellers in control

Medium-term (1-3 months): BEARISH

  • Price declining through SMA 50 ($169.55) represents breach of intermediate support
  • Distance from SMA 200 ($149.50) suggests downtrend may have further to run
  • EMA 12 ($161.68) below EMA 26 ($164.58) = bearish crossover signal

Long-term (3-12 months): NEUTRAL-TO-BEARISH

  • Support at SMA 200 ($149.50) represents ~5.8% downside from current levels
  • If breached, stock could test lower support zones
  • Low beta (0.73) suggests long-term mean reversion more likely than continued decline

Support/Resistance Levels

| Level | Type | Distance | Significance | |-------|------|----------|--------------| | $172.17 | Resistance (Bollinger Upper) | +8.3% | Overbought threshold; breakout needed | | $169.55 | Resistance (SMA 50) | +6.7% | Intermediate trend line; key confirmation level | | $164.19 | Resistance (SMA 20) | +3.4% | Short-term moving average | | $158.85 | Current Price | — | Breaking down through support zone | | $156.21 | Support (Bollinger Lower) | -1.7% | Near-term floor; technical support | | $149.50 | Support (SMA 200) | -5.8% | Major long-term support; critical hold level |

Interpretation: Price is below all major moving averages with no intermediate support until Bollinger lower band at $156.21. Break below $156.21 could accelerate downside toward $149.50.

Momentum Signals

RSI (14): 33.40 — NEUTRAL (Approaching Oversold)

  • Reading just above oversold threshold (30); not yet in capitulation territory
  • Neutral zone (30-70) indicates room for further downside without extreme read
  • Suggests selling pressure is present but not yet at extreme levels
  • Signal: Potential for additional 3-5% downside before momentum reverses

MACD: -2.90 / Signal: -0.36 / Histogram: -2.54 — STRONG BEARISH

  • Negative histogram (-2.54) indicates MACD below signal line (bearish divergence)
  • Both MACD and signal line negative = sustained downward momentum
  • No signs of convergence or bullish crossover imminent
  • Signal: Momentum deterioration ongoing; likely to test lower prices before reversal

Stochastic Oscillators: %K: 12.70 / %D: 11.56 — EXTREME BEARISH

  • Both readings in extreme oversold territory (<20)
  • %K slightly above %D suggests potential for slight bounce, but from very weak position
  • Indicates capitulation selling but also suggests imminent reversal potential
  • Signal: Short-term bounces possible, but reversal probability increasing

Williams %R: -91.33 — EXTREME BEARISH

  • Deep in oversold territory (readings above -80 are extreme)
  • Suggests extreme selling pressure and potential for mean reversion
  • Signal: Contrarian bullish bias here; if price holds $156-158, reversal likely

Bollinger Bands: Middle $164.19 / Width 9.72 — NEUTRAL

  • Price positioned between lower band ($156.21) and middle band ($164.19)
  • Band width (9.72) suggests moderate volatility; not in squeeze
  • Position in lower half of bands indicates downtrend but not yet extreme
  • Signal: Room for modest bounce toward middle band before next leg down

Volume Analysis

Volume Trends:

  • Volume SMA 20: 571,165 shares/day (baseline)
  • Volume Rate of Change: -51.47% (CRITICAL RED FLAG)
  • Volume declining sharply = potential capitulation OR loss of institutional conviction

Interpretation: The -51.47% decline in volume rate of change is concerning. This can signal:

  1. Capitulation - Final sellers exiting (sometimes precedes bounces)
  2. Reduced Interest - Institutional traders stepping aside (bearish signal)
  3. Illiquidity Risk - Any reversal rally may face thin volume (makes it fragile)

On-Balance Volume: 28,745,900.75

  • OBV reading requires context of historical range; cannot assess directional bias without prior data
  • Declining volume during downtrend typical; watch if OBV breaks to new lows (confirms weakness)

Institutional Interest Signal:

  • Volume decline suggests institutions may be reducing exposure or have already exited
  • This is slightly bearish for near-term recovery prospects

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary

| Date | Headline | Sentiment | Relevance | |------|----------|-----------|-----------| | 2026-09-14 | "Could Be a Great Choice" (Zacks) | POSITIVE | Most recent; analyst endorsement | | 2026-03-23 | "7.7% Dividend Built for Private Credit Panic" | POSITIVE | Income-focused narrative; defensive theme | | 2025-04-30 | Board Appointment (Alejandro M. Sanchez) | NEUTRAL | Routine governance; no material impact | | 2024-07-31 | Zacks Featured Highlights (Multiple stocks) | POSITIVE | General analyst coverage; non-specific | | 2024-05-25 | Dividend Champion/Contender Highlights | NEUTRAL | Income strategy coverage; routine | | 2024-05-15 | "Could Be a Great Choice" (Zacks) | NEUTRAL | Repeated analyst mention; older story |

Sentiment Assessment: POSITIVE NEWS / NEGATIVE PRICE ACTION DIVERGENCE

Aggregate News Sentiment: POSITIVE (60% positive headlines)

Critical Observation: The most recent headline from September 14, 2026 (Zacks: "Could Be a Great Choice") carries POSITIVE sentiment, yet the stock has declined significantly below all moving averages. This represents a clear contradiction between fundamental/analyst narrative and technical price action.

Possible Explanations:

  1. Lagging Analyst Coverage - Zacks recommendation may not reflect recent deterioration in quarterly performance or credit quality
  2. Macro Headwinds - Banking sector weakness overriding company-specific positives (interest rate environment?)
  3. Dividend Unsustainability Fears - Despite positive dividend narrative, market may be pricing concerns about payout sustainability
  4. Private Credit Exposure - March 2026 headline about "Private Credit Panic" suggests vulnerability to credit market dislocations

Catalyst Identification

**Immediate

Generated
Earnings History
20 of 22 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
6.95%
Avg Actual Move
3.03%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2021-01-28 Pre-Market 6.44% 7.43% 1.15x Exceeded
2021-04-28 Pre-Market 6.70% 1.95% 0.29x Within
2021-07-22 Pre-Market 5.09% 0.52% 0.10x Within
2021-10-20 Pre-Market 6.46% 2.24% 0.35x Within
2022-01-27 Pre-Market 7.88% 2.86% 0.36x Within
2022-04-26 Pre-Market 5.38% 1.73% 0.32x Within
2022-07-28 Pre-Market 3.94% 4.17% 1.06x Exceeded
2023-01-25 Pre-Market 6.41% 3.19% 0.50x Within
2023-04-26 Pre-Market 5.95% 3.18% 0.53x Within
2023-07-26 Pre-Market 9.62% 6.37% 0.66x Within
2023-10-26 Pre-Market 8.10% 7.73% 0.95x Within
2024-01-25 Pre-Market 6.53% 2.80% 0.43x Within
2024-04-23 Pre-Market 7.48% 3.09% 0.41x Within
2024-07-24 Pre-Market 6.94% 3.49% 0.50x Within
2024-10-23 After-Close 7.63% 0.85% 0.11x Within
2025-01-28 After-Close 7.98% 1.23% 0.15x Within
2025-04-23 After-Close 7.46% 3.70% 0.50x Within
2025-07-23 Pre-Market 6.77% 0.32% 0.05x Within
2025-10-23 Pre-Market 9.12% 1.20% 0.13x Within
2026-01-27 Pre-Market 7.87% 6.29% 0.80x Within
2026-04-23 Pre-Market 6.20% 0.65% 0.10x Within
2026-07-23 Pre-Market 6.96% 1.73% 0.25x Within

Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →

BPOP Options Activity & IV Rank

BPOP IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: 26.4%
7-DTE IV: 45.7%
Expected Move: $10.30
7-DTE Move: $4.47
Days to Exp: 37 (2026-11-20)

Options Flow

Call Volume: 4
Put Volume: 24
P/C Volume: 6.0
BEARISH
Call OI: 5
Put OI: 50
P/C OI: 10.0
Total OI: 55

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $5.35
ATM Put: $4.95
Call %: 3.4%
Put %: 3.2%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 604
Chain OI: 2,225
Last Updated: 10/14/2026
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ

Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 42nd percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.

Gamma percentile
42%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.28
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.79
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.57
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.79: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.57: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.

Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.

Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.

Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.

This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.

· 15 ATM contracts, 2k total OI
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
No data
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts EXTREME
No data

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)76.3HighOct 14
IV Rank (30 DTE)57.9MediumOct 14
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$10.30Oct 14
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 0.6464
Alpha: 15.45%
Correlation: 0.3461
R-Squared: 12.0%
Stock Volatility: 23.7%
Market Volatility: 12.7%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time

BPOP Institutional Ownership (13F)

Latest filings — 2026-09-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 66,910,979 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

492 filers67,880,154 shares$10.81B value101.45% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 Vanguard Group Inc Custodian 8,489,936 $1.06B 9.78% 12.69% 2025-12-31
2 T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. 4,714,748 $774.07M 7.16% 7.05% 2026-06-30
3 Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 4,487,199 $736.71M 6.82% 6.71% 2026-06-30
4 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 3,994,322 $655.79M 6.07% 5.97% 2026-06-30
5 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Custodian 3,126,242 $513.27M 4.75% 4.67% 2026-06-30
6 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 2,824,478 $463.72M 4.29% 4.22% 2026-06-30
7 AQR Capital Management, LLC Custodian 2,268,854 $372.50M 3.45% 3.39% 2026-06-30
8 State Street Corp 1,765,313 $291.09M 2.69% 2.64% 2026-06-30
9 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian 1,575,921 $258.73M 2.39% 2.36% 2026-06-30
10 Geode Capital Management, LLC Custodian 1,500,612 $246.42M 2.28% 2.24% 2026-06-30
11 Massachusetts Financial Services Co 1,463,980 $243.84M 2.26% 2.19% 2026-06-30
12 LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT 1,194,168 $196.06M 1.81% 1.78% 2026-06-30
13 FMR LLC Custodian 1,172,029 $192.42M 1.78% 1.75% 2026-06-30
14 Ameriprise Financial, Inc. Custodian 1,150,553 $188.91M 1.75% 1.72% 2026-06-30
15 LOS ANGELES CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 1,099,446 $180.51M 1.67% 1.64% 2026-06-30
16 Morgan Stanley Custodian 1,040,508 $170.83M 1.58% 1.56% 2026-06-30
17 Wellington Management Group LLP Custodian 1,004,676 $164.95M 1.53% 1.50% 2026-06-30
18 Norges Bank 819,715 $134.58M 1.25% 1.23% 2026-06-30
19 JACOBS LEVY EQUITY MANAGEMENT, INC 806,838 $132.47M 1.23% 1.21% 2026-06-30
20 NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC. 738,153 $121.19M 1.12% 1.10% 2026-06-30
21 FRONTIER CAPITAL MANAGEMENT CO LLC 725,227 $119.07M 1.10% 1.08% 2026-06-30
22 Qube Research & Technologies Ltd 713,599 $117.16M 1.08% 1.07% 2026-06-30
23 EARNEST PARTNERS LLC 656,320 $107.75M 1.00% 0.98% 2026-06-30
24 Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. 649,919 $106.70M 0.99% 0.97% 2026-06-30
25 MACQUARIE GROUP LTD 627,775 $103.07M 0.95% 0.94% 2026-06-30
5 filers$10.17M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $8.41M 82.62% 2026-06-30
2 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $853.74K 8.39% 2026-06-30
3 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $443.29K 4.36% 2026-06-30
4 Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian $241.93K 2.38% 2025-09-30
5 Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian $229.85K 2.26% 2026-06-30
3 filers$2.52M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $1.23M 48.90% 2026-06-30
2 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $968.66K 38.46% 2026-06-30
3 Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian $318.32K 12.64% 2025-09-30

BPOP Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-10-05
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-10-05 Richard L Carrion Director Award (A) — — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Bertil E. Chappuis Director Grant (A) +34 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Betty K DeVita Director Grant (A) +59 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Alejandro M Ballester Director Award (A) — — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Robert Carrady Director Award (A) — — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Maria Luisa Ferre Director Award (A) — — EDGAR
2026-10-05 C Kim Goodwin Director Award (A) — — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Jose Ramon Rodriguez Director Grant (A) +99 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Carlos Unanue Director Award (A) — — EDGAR
2026-09-01 Javier D. Ferrer PRESIDENT & CEO Tax (F) −10,486 $168.19 -$1.76M EDGAR
2026-08-26 Adorno Denissa Rodriguez Senior VP & Comptroller Sell (S) −600 $168.79 -$101.3K EDGAR
2026-08-20 Jorge J. Garcia Executive Vice President & CFO Award (A) +5,733 — EDGAR
2026-08-11 Javier D. Ferrer PRESIDENT & CEO Sell (S) −35,000 $175.43 -$6.14M EDGAR
2026-08-11 Lidio Soriano Executive Vice President Sell (S) −3,000 $174.50 -$523.5K EDGAR
2026-08-06 Luis E. Cestero Executive Vice President Sell (S) −8,500 $176.36 -$1.50M EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

BPOP Insider Holdings

12 insiders · @ $155.95
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Richard L Carrion Chairman & CEO 268,051 $41.80M $0 3 2026-10-05
2 Carlos Unanue Director 135,037 $21.06M $0 2 2026-10-05
3 Lidio Soriano Executive Vice President 107,319 $16.74M -$523.5K 2 2026-08-11
4 Javier D. Ferrer PRESIDENT & CEO 87,159 $13.59M -$6.14M 3 2026-09-01
5 Maria Luisa Ferre Director 44,731 $6.98M -$1.13M 3 2026-10-05
6 C Kim Goodwin Director 44,672 $6.97M $0 2 2026-10-05
7 Eduardo J. Negron Executive Vice President 38,442 $6.00M $0 2 2026-07-02
8 Alejandro M Ballester Director 34,839 $5.43M $0 2 2026-10-05
9 Jorge J. Garcia Executive Vice President & CFO 25,410 $3.96M -$109.9K 2 2026-08-20
10 Luis E. Cestero Executive Vice President 16,013 $2.50M -$3.00M 2 2026-08-06
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.

BPOP Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)

Latest: 2026-08-10
Last 30d: 0 filings  ·  Last 90d: 4 filings · $7.7M notice value · 4 unique filers

What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.

How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.

10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.

"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.

Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.

Top 90-day filers: Javier D. Ferrer (1, $6.1M) · LUIS A FERRE FOUNDATION, INC. (1, $589K) · Maria Luisa Ferre (1, $530K) · Lidio Soriano (1, $522K)
Filed Filer Role Shares Notice Value Planned Sale Broker Plan Link
2026-08-10 Lidio Soriano Officer 3,000 $522.1K 2026-08-10 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods — EDGAR
2026-08-10 Javier D. Ferrer Officer, Director 35,000 $6.09M 2026-08-10 Popular Securities, LLC — EDGAR
2026-07-30 LUIS A FERRE FOUNDATION, INC. Director 3,385 $589.0K 2026-07-30 Fidelity Investments — EDGAR
2026-07-30 Maria Luisa Ferre Director 3,076 $529.7K 2026-07-30 Keefe, Bruyette & Wods — EDGAR
2026-05-22 Sanchez Alejandro M Director 300 $44.8K 2026-05-22 Vanguard Marketing Corporation — EDGAR
2026-04-30 Alejandro M. Ballester Director 23,000 $3.40M 2026-04-30 Popular Securities, LLC — EDGAR
2026-02-27 Sanchez Alejandro M Director 1,451 $204.4K 2026-02-26 Vanguard Marketing Corporation — EDGAR
2026-01-30 Alejandro M. Ballester Director 2,360 $310.5K 2026-01-30 Popular Securities, LLC — EDGAR
2025-11-24 Richard L. Carrion Director 25,000 $2.79M 2025-11-24 Popular Securities, LLC — EDGAR
2025-08-13 Ignacio Alvarez Former CEO 34,583 $4.06M 2025-08-13 Popular Securities, LLC — EDGAR
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-05-11
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-11 0001193125-26-217109 EDGAR
2026-05-08 0001193125-26-214112 EDGAR
2026-04-23 0001193125-26-171797 EDGAR
2026-04-08 0001193125-26-146421 EDGAR
2026-02-27 0001193125-26-082102 EDGAR
2026-02-26 0001193125-26-075335 EDGAR
2026-01-27 0001193125-26-023312 EDGAR
2025-11-14 0001193125-25-281969 EDGAR
2025-10-23 0001193125-25-247648 EDGAR
2025-08-22 0001193125-25-186063 EDGAR
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-03-02 0001193125-26-085756 EDGAR
2025-03-03 0001193125-25-043848 EDGAR
2024-02-29 0001193125-24-053017 EDGAR
2023-03-01 0001193125-23-056454 EDGAR
2022-03-01 0001193125-22-060953 EDGAR
2021-03-01 0001193125-21-063781 EDGAR
2020-03-02 0001193125-20-058848 EDGAR
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-05-08 0001193125-26-214600 EDGAR
2025-11-10 0001193125-25-274035 EDGAR
2025-08-11 0001193125-25-177928 EDGAR
2025-05-12 0001193125-25-117624 EDGAR
2024-11-12 0001193125-24-255718 EDGAR
2024-08-09 0001193125-24-197914 EDGAR
2024-05-10 0001193125-24-136053 EDGAR
2023-11-09 0001193125-23-274342 EDGAR
2023-08-09 0001193125-23-207168 EDGAR
2023-05-10 0001193125-23-140853 EDGAR
ETF Holders
160 ETFs hold BPOP
25 shown · $1.58B total exposure · 0.07% AUM-weighted avg weight
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
1 VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF Vanguard 0.01% $327.6M — 2026-08-31
2 VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF Vanguard 0.13% $237.3M — 2026-08-31
3 VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF Vanguard 0.22% $150.7M — 2026-08-31
4 DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF Dimensional 0.44% $133.0M — 2026-10-12
5 VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF Vanguard 0.13% $126.0M — 2026-08-31
6 DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF Dimensional 0.22% $75.1M — 2026-10-12
7 DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF Dimensional 0.26% $70.4M — 2026-10-12
8 SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF Nport 0.21% $46.9M — 2026-05-31
9 VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF Vanguard 0.04% $43.5M — 2026-08-31
10 IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.07% $40.9M $56.7B 2026-10-12
11 KRE State Street® SPDR® S&P® Regional Banking ETF SPDR (State Street) 1.11% $40.5M $3.7B 2026-10-12
12 DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF Dimensional 0.04% $39.8M — 2026-10-12
13 TMSL T. Rowe Price Small-Mid Cap ETF Nport 1.18% $31.9M — 2026-06-30
14 SCHM Schwab U.S. Mid-Cap ETF Nport 0.18% $26.4M — 2026-05-31
15 DCOR Dimensional US Core Equity 1 ETF Dimensional 0.06% $25.2M — 2026-10-12
16 SDVY First Trust SMID Cap Rising Dividend Achievers ETF First Trust 0.21% $22.8M $10.9B 2026-10-12
17 IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.02% $20.5M $83.2B 2026-10-12
18 SMLF iShares U.S. Small-Cap Equity Factor ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.49% $20.4M $4.1B 2026-10-12
19 VFH Vanguard Financials ETF Vanguard 0.12% $17.7M — 2026-08-31
20 DGRO iShares Core Dividend Growth ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.04% $17.3M $43.2B 2026-10-12
21 DON WisdomTree U.S. Midcap Dividend Fund Nport 0.41% $16.4M — 2026-06-30
22 IWS iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.09% $13.8M $15.4B 2026-10-12
23 KBE State Street® SPDR® S&P® Bank ETF SPDR (State Street) 0.94% $13.5M $1.4B 2026-10-12
24 ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.01% $13.2M $97.9B 2026-10-12
25 FMDE Fidelity Enhanced Mid Cap Core ETF Fidelity 0.15% $12.9M $8.5B 2026-10-12
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Trailing P/E
11.53
TTM Diluted EPS
$13.53
TTM Revenue
$4.48B
TTM Net Income
$900.27M
TTM Op. Cash Flow
$898.00M
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
QuarterPeriod EndRevenueNet IncomeDiluted EPSOp. Cash Flow
Q1 '262026-03-31$1.11B$245.32M$3.78$191.61M
Q4 '252025-12-31$1.12B$233.55M$3.52$268.47M
Q3 '252025-09-30$1.14B$210.96M$3.14$194.98M
Q2 '252025-06-30$1.11B$210.44M$3.09$242.94M
Q1 '252025-03-31$1.07B$177.15M$2.56$172.06M
Q4 '242024-12-31$1.08B$177.46M$2.51$199.48M
Q3 '242024-09-30$1.10B$154.97M$2.16$233.24M
Q2 '242024-06-30$1.09B$177.79M$2.46$80.44M
Q1 '242024-03-31$1.06B$103.28M$1.43$161.56M
Q4 '232023-12-31$1.04B$94.24M$1.31$213.59M
Q3 '232023-09-30$1.00B$136.26M$1.90$121.67M
Q2 '232023-06-30$954.48M$151.16M$2.10$198.31M
Q1 2026 • period ending 2026-03-31 • filed 2026-05-08
Valuation

Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.

Price Multiples
  • P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
  • P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
  • P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
  • EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
  • EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
  • ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
  • ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
  • Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
  • FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
  • Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
  • Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
  • Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
  • Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
  • Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
11.53
P/B
1.65
P/S
2.33
EV/EBITDA
9.90
EV/Sales
2.40
ROE
14.3%
ROA
1.2%
Div Yield
1.99%
FCF Yield
8.61%
Debt/Equity
0.12
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$10.43B
as of 2026-10-14
Short Interest & Float

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions
  • Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
  • SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
  • Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
  • Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
  • Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
  • Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
  • SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
  • 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
  • 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
  • >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
  • Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
  • Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
  • A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Short Interest
1.97M
SI % of Float
3.15%
Days to Cover
3.31
Short Vol Ratio
37.0%
Free Float
62.55M
Float %
98.1%
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-13 • Float 2026-08-24