What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

At least 30%

Closes Aug 18, 2027 (427d) 24h volume 3.1K Open interest 16.9K Event Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

implied YES probability

+0.6pp 24h

Last 51 days · High 37% · Low 8% · 7d -30.7pp · 30d -65.4pp

BPOP Popular Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.