What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

At least 10%

Closes Aug 18, 2027 (427d) 24h volume 5.5K Open interest 24.8K Event Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

36%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 66 days · High 80% · Low 28% · 7d -37.9pp · 30d -46.3pp

BPOP Popular Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.