What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 05, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

At least 26%

Closes Jun 05, 2027 (353d) 24h volume 105 Open interest 1.8K Event California Governor primary: Steve Hilton vote percent

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 28% · Low 2%

BPOP Popular Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.