What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Apple

Closes Jul 19, 2027 (374d) 24h volume 1.8K Open interest 9.4K Event Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final

24%

implied YES probability

-10.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 73% · Low 33% · 7d -52.2pp

AAPL Apple Inc.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.