What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Lautaro Martinez

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (51d) 24h volume 27.1K Open interest 127.8K Event Golden Boot Winner

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 23 days · High 3% · Low 1% · 7d -50.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.