What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

1: Turkiye / 2: USA / 3: Paraguay / 4: Australia

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (25d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 29.1K Event Group D: Exact Order

2%

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 25% · Low 2% · 7d -83.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.