What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

1: USA / 2: Turkiye / 3: Australia / 4: Paraguay

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (25d) 24h volume 4.4K Open interest 31.9K Event Group D: Exact Order

14%

implied YES probability

+10.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 49% · Low 9% · 7d -66.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.