What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $4250

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (3d) 24h volume 22 Open interest 1.3K Event Get-in price of World Cup Semi-Final - AT&T Stadium

8%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 25 days · High 72% · Low 3% · 7d -85.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.